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Condominium sales in 2017 up 17% over 10-year average for January
Feb 17, 2017

by Peter Squire

Condominium sales showed a marked jump in activity compared to January 2016 with a 36% increase. They are also up 17% over the 10-year average for January condominium sales. Overall, MLS® sales were slightly below last January’s total — by ten sales to be exact. And similarly, since residential-detached homes on WinnipegREALTORS®’ MLS® is by far the most dominant property type, there were sales of 400 compared to 409 in January 2016.

New MLS® listings coming on the market in January were down slightly, too, with residential-detached much the same and condominiums seeing a 5% increase over January 2016. It can be said a pattern is emerging where new condominium listings have steadily increased in January since 2012. Part of the explanation for this development is that there are more new condominium projects available on MLS®.

As a result, these newly built condos are increasing their market share in terms of monthly sales. This January, 29% of condos sold were new units, whereas in January 2016, their percentage market share was 17%. Even with stronger condo sales in January the over 600 listings going into February are still elevated when you compare them to previous years. The only exception was last year, when January condo listings were up 4% over this January.

It should also be noted that the impressive showing of condo sales in January was borne out by the fact that close to 20% sold for above list price in comparison to only 4% in January 2016.

“While one month does not make a year, it can give you pause to reflect on what may be around the corner,” said Blair Sonnichsen, president of WinnipegREALTORS®. 

“One thing to monitor will be whether the more stringent qualifying mortgage rules and even the City of Winnipeg impact fees coming into effect on May 1, 2017, will affect the condominium sales activity,” he added.

In summary, January MLS® unit sales of 561 were down less than 2% from the same month last year while dollar volume of $153 million was up nearly 3% compared to January 2016. The 1,502 new listings entered on the MLS® market in January decreased 1%, leaving just over 3,000 listings available for sale going into February. This active listing inventory is down 9% from 2015 and 2016 levels of just over 3,400.

Based on fewer MLS® sales in the first quarter of the year, the projected time of absorbing all of the existing inventory — if there were no new listings coming on the market — is five and one-half months.  This compares favourably to last year at this time as it would have taken six months.

“One of the positive take-aways from January is the pick-up in condominium sales since the inventory remains elevated compared to its long term average.” said Peter Squire, market analyst of WinnipegREALTORS®. “It has also come to our attention that new condominium construction supply is coming down, so builders are making adjustments to account for overbuilding in the condo market.”

The most active price range in MLS® residential-detached sales in January was the $250,000 to $299,999 price range at 21% of total sales. Tied for second busiest at 15% were the two lower price ranges of $200,000 to $249,999 and $150,000 to $199,999. The average days on market to sell a residential-detached home was 45 days, one day slower than January 2016.

The most active price range in MLS® condominium sales was from $150,000 to $199,999 at 29%. The next most active price range was from $100,000 to $149,999 at 15%. The average days on market to sell a condo was 48 days, 14 days or 2 weeks quicker than January, 2016                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         

Established in 1903, WinnipegREALTORS® is a professional association representing just over 1,850 real estate brokers, salespeople, appraisers, and financial members active in the Greater Winnipeg Area real estate market.  Its REALTOR® members adhere to a strict code of ethics and share a state-of-the-art Multiple Listing Service® (MLS®) designed exclusively for Realtors. WinnipegREALTORS® serves its members by promoting the benefits of an organized real estate profession.  REALTOR®, MLS® and Multiple Listing Service® are trademarks owned and controlled by The Canadian Real Estate Association and are used under licence.

For further information, contact Peter Squire at 204-786-8854.